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Red71
482920.2
87577.9
153319.3
Blue35
429014.2
57277.1
69328.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48300204060801007135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.7
18.118.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 6.0
14.20.1
14.214.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Second
1533
#18
19.30.7
17.217.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.8
End1.4
red by 10.7
6932
#24
8.50.1
8.48.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Third
8757
#22
7.90.7
5.86.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 0.8
5727
#23
7.10.1
7.07.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0