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Red64
92986.5
689424.0
949634.4
Blue66
153319.3
87577.9
482920.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7543020601001201406466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.2
34.133.9
Auto15.4
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 14.2
20.20.4
18.819.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Second
24.00.2
23.823.6
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
red by 4.8
1533
#18
19.30.4
17.818.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.8
End1.4
Third
9298
#27
6.50.2
6.36.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 1.4
8757
#22
7.90.4
6.56.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End0.8