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Red39
345913.5
90426.6
264220.7
Blue30
83048.8
453420.9
91983.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731101520253540453930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.9
14.515.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End0.9
blue by 0.2
20.90.8
13.913.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End1.0
Second
3459
#20
13.51.6
7.28.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
red by 4.7
8304
#17
8.80.8
6.15.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Third
9042
#25
6.61.6
3.24.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.0
red by 3.2
9198
#30
3.40.8
7.66.7
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed