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Red21
482820.5
97074.5
900510.7
Blue42
456117.0
55119.4
900813.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353202060801002142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.2
15.314.1
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 3.5
17.01.4
16.417.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Second
9005
#19
10.71.2
9.98.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 2.9
9008
#12
13.61.4
7.58.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
9707
#24
4.51.2
6.35.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 4.9
5511
#26
9.41.4
5.26.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed