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Red44
59193.5
689418.0
672916.3
Blue33
97246.6
482820.5
820510.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293010152025354045504433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.3
13.313.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 2.5
20.50.2
14.114.3
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Second
16.30.3
12.012.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End1.3
red by 5.9
8205
#11
10.40.2
7.67.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
5919
#23
3.50.3
1.82.1
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 3.2
9724
#29
6.60.2
4.14.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed