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Red31
456117.0
820510.4
55183.5
Blue12
97074.5
345913.5
83048.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332501020405060703112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.3
17.116.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 3.6
3459
#20
13.51.3
9.27.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Second
8205
#11
10.40.3
6.86.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 1.6
8304
#17
8.81.3
7.25.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Third
5518
#27
3.50.3
4.94.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 1.0
9707
#24
4.51.3
7.36.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed