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Red60
456117.0
83048.8
264220.7
Blue52
744311.7
900813.6
153313.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53402060801006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.0
20.820.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End0.9
red by 7.1
9008
#12
13.60.2
13.413.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Second
17.00.0
17.117.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 3.9
1533
#16
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
8304
#17
8.80.0
8.98.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 3.0
7443
#18
11.70.2
11.511.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.3