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Red52
99922.3
789015.6
873823.0
Blue69
650021.5
456118.8
51907.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060801001201405269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
22.322.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 1.5
21.50.3
20.921.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
Second
15.60.3
14.915.2
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 3.2
4561
#11
18.80.3
18.118.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.0
End1.2
Third
9992
#23
2.30.5
1.11.6
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.8
blue by 4.9
5190
#22
7.10.3
6.56.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5