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Red39
482912.8
99941.8
650021.5
Blue61
516013.7
99967.2
672918.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395402060801001203961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.1
19.419.3
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
red by 2.6
18.90.1
19.118.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
4829
#20
12.80.1
16.416.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 0.9
5160
#18
13.70.1
16.316.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
9994
#14
1.80.2
4.94.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.2
blue by 5.5
7.20.2
7.37.1
Auto5.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed