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Red63
650021.5
453418.6
69084.4
Blue77
776324.6
99922.3
33497.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4951204060806377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.1
17.417.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
blue by 3.1
24.60.5
32.932.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Second
4534
#10
18.60.1
20.220.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End0.9
red by 10.9
3349
#16
7.70.5
7.57.0
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
Third
6908
#24
4.40.1
6.86.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.6
red by 2.2
9992
#23
2.30.8
3.93.1
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned