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Red45
789015.6
482912.8
99967.2
Blue32
51907.1
551110.4
55187.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52310204060801004532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.6
15.114.5
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 5.2
5511
#15
10.40.2
11.210.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Second
4829
#20
12.80.6
19.619.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End0.6
red by 5.2
5518
#21
7.70.2
9.18.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End1.6
Third
7.21.0
5.14.1
Auto5.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
red by 0.1
5190
#22
7.10.2
10.19.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed