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Red45
999010.6
373718.7
482912.8
Blue54
650021.5
456118.8
51907.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425002060801001201404554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.3
19.018.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End1.6
blue by 2.8
21.50.1
20.620.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
Second
4829
#20
12.80.3
13.112.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 5.9
4561
#11
18.80.1
17.817.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.0
End1.2
Third
10.60.5
11.010.6
Auto6.5
Teleop3.8
End0.0
red by 3.5
5190
#22
7.10.1
6.26.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5