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Red64
51907.1
456118.8
650021.5
Blue45
516013.7
38227.4
672918.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504302060801006445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.1
20.420.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.3
End2.2
red by 2.6
18.90.1
18.818.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
4561
#11
18.80.1
17.717.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 5.0
5160
#18
13.70.1
13.613.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
5190
#22
7.10.1
6.16.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 0.3
3822
#19
7.40.1
7.37.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.6
End1.3