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Red60
87576.3
663924.9
482820.0
Blue83
949637.3
689423.9
90054.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537301001502006083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.2
24.724.9
Auto10.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 12.4
37.30.4
36.937.3
Auto13.3
Teleop22.7
End1.4
Second
4828
#12
20.00.2
19.820.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 3.8
23.90.4
23.423.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Third
8757
#20
6.30.2
6.16.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2
red by 2.3
9005
#23
4.10.4
3.64.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2