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Red66
350621.6
99906.2
689423.9
Blue19
688817.3
91500.7
99850.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6115040801001201406619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.7
22.423.1
Auto10.3
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 6.6
17.30.8
13.612.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Second
3506
#14
21.60.7
22.523.2
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End0.7
red by 20.8
9985
#15
0.81.4
4.63.2
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.7
End0.1
Third
9990
#19
6.21.2
3.64.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End0.3
red by 5.5
9150
#16
0.70.8
3.12.3
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned