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Red1
872723.2
69322.3
49353.5
Blue42
90054.1
663924.9
264011.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41480206080100142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#10
23.22.5
28.726.2
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End1.8
blue by 1.7
24.90.7
24.423.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
4935
#22
3.52.5
5.32.8
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 7.8
2640
#17
11.30.7
11.510.8
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Third
6932
#11
2.32.5
4.41.9
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
blue by 1.7
9005
#23
4.10.7
6.15.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned