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Red42
99951.8
57276.0
350621.6
Blue43
205912.0
69322.3
689423.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566001001502004243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#14
21.60.9
31.430.5
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End0.7
blue by 2.2
23.91.4
25.424.0
Auto10.3
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Second
5727
#13
6.00.9
7.16.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 6.0
12.01.4
20.619.3
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
9995
#18
1.81.5
6.95.4
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
blue by 0.5
6932
#11
2.31.4
7.86.4
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned