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Red3
99850.8
9980-1.9
99951.8
Blue32
872723.2
90054.1
91500.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543206080100120332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
#18
1.80.2
3.93.7
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
blue by 21.4
8727
#10
23.21.9
26.224.3
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End1.8
Second
9985
#15
0.80.2
1.31.1
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.7
End0.1
blue by 3.2
9005
#23
4.11.9
5.43.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
Third
9980
#24
-1.90.2
-0.2-0.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.4
End-0.3
blue by 2.6
9150
#16
0.71.9
2.50.6
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned