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Red32
90054.1
205912.0
350621.6
Blue52
87576.3
872723.2
998212.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71470204060801001201403252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#14
21.62.6
30.527.9
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End0.7
blue by 1.6
8727
#10
23.20.4
32.032.5
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End1.8
Second
12.02.6
19.316.6
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 0.4
12.40.7
5.46.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Third
9005
#23
4.12.6
11.99.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
blue by 2.3
8757
#20
6.30.4
8.18.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed