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Red62
90054.1
689423.9
949637.3
Blue70
482820.0
663924.9
87576.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70510204060801001201401606270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.0
36.036.0
Auto13.3
Teleop22.7
End1.4
red by 12.4
24.90.2
24.124.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
23.90.0
22.622.6
Auto10.3
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 3.8
4828
#12
20.00.2
19.219.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Third
9005
#23
4.10.0
2.82.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End0.2
blue by 2.3
8757
#20
6.30.2
5.55.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2