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Red54
9980-1.9
319620.8
872723.2
Blue32
69322.3
264011.3
91500.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56902040801001205432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#10
23.20.2
24.324.5
Auto10.5
Teleop11.0
End1.8
red by 12.0
2640
#17
11.30.2
11.211.4
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Second
20.80.2
21.922.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 18.5
6932
#11
2.30.2
2.22.4
Auto1.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.8
Third
9980
#24
-1.90.3
-0.4-0.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.4
End-0.3
blue by 2.6
9150
#16
0.70.2
0.60.8
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.8