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Red62
998212.4
92986.5
58721.3
Blue15
350621.6
99951.8
205912.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342203050606215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#9
21.30.6
20.220.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End1.8
blue by 0.4
3506
#14
21.60.5
22.121.6
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End0.7
Second
12.40.8
11.011.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End0.5
red by 0.4
12.00.5
12.512.0
Auto6.9
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
9298
#21
6.50.6
5.56.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End0.8
red by 4.7
9995
#18
1.80.7
2.51.8
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.3
End0.6