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Red71
830415.1
482827.5
456121.7
Blue42
873823.6
650017.8
560713.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70612040801001201407142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
26.826.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 3.8
23.60.4
24.123.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Second
21.70.1
21.021.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
red by 3.9
6500
#18
17.80.4
18.317.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
8304
#22
15.10.1
14.414.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 1.8
5607
#21
13.20.4
13.713.3
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End1.3