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Red29
80909.2
551111.4
650219.2
Blue37
456121.7
600413.9
482827.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462040801002937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#12
19.20.5
13.212.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
blue by 8.3
27.51.1
21.920.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
5511
#31
11.40.5
8.78.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 10.3
21.71.1
16.615.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
Third
8090
#24
9.20.5
4.74.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 4.7
6004
#26
13.91.1
13.112.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed