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Red33
80909.2
456121.7
97889.8
Blue53
373719.4
560713.2
874615.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293901020506070803353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.4
15.515.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
red by 2.3
19.41.2
16.918.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
9788
#33
9.80.6
8.08.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End1.1
blue by 6.2
8746
#15
15.91.2
9.410.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Third
8090
#24
9.20.4
4.24.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 4.0
5607
#21
13.21.2
8.19.3
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed