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Red78
482827.5
903221.6
516016.3
Blue41
551811.7
453422.1
97893.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55270204060801007841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.9
20.822.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 5.3
22.10.9
19.720.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
21.61.9
13.315.3
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 9.9
5518
#23
11.70.9
3.44.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
16.31.9
12.714.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End3.0
red by 12.3
9789
#34
3.90.9
5.16.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed