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Red11
33366.7
97889.8
92596.3
Blue36
88048.3
650219.2
48164.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26270204060801001136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9788
#33
9.81.4
9.78.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End1.1
blue by 9.4
6502
#12
19.20.8
14.315.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
3336
#25
6.70.8
7.16.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 1.6
8804
#17
8.30.8
3.54.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Third
9259
#29
6.30.8
6.55.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
red by 2.0
4816
#27
4.30.8
6.57.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed