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Red32
874615.9
600413.9
76716.1
Blue29
820512.9
551811.7
87587.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2628102040503229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8746
#15
15.90.5
11.411.9
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 3.1
8205
#19
12.90.3
10.210.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Second
6004
#26
13.90.5
11.111.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.9
red by 2.2
5518
#23
11.70.3
4.24.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
7671
#30
6.10.5
1.41.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 1.4
8758
#35
7.50.3
10.710.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed