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Red33
600413.9
519010.9
551111.4
Blue36
873823.6
48164.3
373719.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34490204060801003336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#26
13.90.1
11.611.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.9
blue by 9.7
23.60.8
18.417.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Second
5511
#31
11.40.1
10.010.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 8.0
19.40.8
16.515.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
5190
#20
10.90.1
10.610.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.6
red by 6.5
4816
#27
4.30.8
7.36.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed