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Red58
650219.2
482827.5
322918.5
Blue53
456121.7
650017.8
820512.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584420801001205853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.5
22.823.2
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 5.8
21.70.8
16.717.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
Second
6502
#12
19.20.5
15.115.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 1.3
6500
#18
17.80.8
14.515.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
3229
#10
18.50.5
12.913.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End1.7
red by 5.7
8205
#19
12.90.8
10.511.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed