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Red57
205918.7
456121.7
62401.3
Blue30
97893.9
929712.2
48164.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4024060805730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.8
17.818.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
red by 9.5
9297
#16
12.20.2
10.310.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Second
2059
#11
18.70.8
16.217.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.7
End1.4
red by 14.4
4816
#27
4.30.2
7.67.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Third
6240
#32
1.30.8
0.41.2
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 2.6
9789
#34
3.90.2
5.45.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed