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Red38
551111.4
373719.4
87587.5
Blue80
830415.1
650017.8
482827.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801003880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.1
17.017.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
blue by 8.1
27.50.2
23.723.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
5511
#31
11.40.1
10.510.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 6.5
6500
#18
17.80.2
15.615.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
8758
#35
7.50.1
8.68.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 7.6
8304
#22
15.10.2
13.513.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed