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Red30
97893.9
874615.9
650219.2
Blue53
205918.7
80909.2
929712.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43372060803053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#12
19.20.7
17.917.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 0.5
2059
#11
18.70.2
17.117.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.7
End1.4
Second
8746
#15
15.90.7
15.014.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 3.7
9297
#16
12.20.2
10.410.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
9789
#34
3.90.7
5.64.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 5.3
8090
#24
9.20.2
7.17.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned