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Red59
551811.7
560713.2
903221.6
Blue28
62401.3
92596.3
650219.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4424060801005928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.1
19.120.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 2.4
6502
#12
19.20.1
17.217.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
5607
#21
13.21.1
9.811.0
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 6.9
9259
#29
6.30.1
5.55.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Third
5518
#23
11.71.1
8.19.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 10.3
6240
#32
1.30.1
1.21.4
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed