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Red39
970711.1
820512.9
519010.9
Blue65
874615.9
373719.4
322918.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3561020801001203965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8205
#19
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 6.5
19.40.2
18.718.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
9707
#14
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End0.5
blue by 7.4
3229
#10
18.50.2
17.918.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.5
End1.7
Third
5190
#20
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.6
blue by 5.1
8746
#15
15.90.2
15.215.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End1.7