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Red101
830415.1
482827.5
456121.7
Blue40
453422.1
929712.2
345918.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6557010015020010140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.6
25.325.9
Auto10.3
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 5.3
22.10.3
22.121.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
21.70.6
19.620.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End0.4
red by 3.0
18.70.3
18.618.4
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
8304
#22
15.10.6
12.913.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 2.8
9297
#16
12.20.3
12.111.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6