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Red74
345918.7
929712.2
453422.1
Blue83
900825.1
88048.3
903221.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57585560657075807483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.4
21.822.1
Auto6.0
Teleop14.2
End1.9
blue by 2.9
25.10.6
24.224.8
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
18.70.4
18.418.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End1.0
blue by 2.9
21.60.6
20.721.3
Auto9.2
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Third
9297
#16
12.20.4
11.812.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.6
red by 3.9
8804
#17
8.30.6
7.48.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.4