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Red13
4354.6
651211.9
48166.2
Blue30
62400.8
34899.2
789014.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942010205060701330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6512
#12
11.91.7
8.46.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 2.9
7890
#14
14.72.0
16.013.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Second
4816
#26
6.21.7
9.37.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 2.9
3489
#19
9.22.0
12.510.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
435
#13
4.61.7
10.38.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.6
red by 3.8
6240
#28DQ
0.82.0
8.05.9
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned