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Red10
92595.1
205915.2
48166.2
Blue19
34899.2
322911.6
88043.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272610152025301019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.21.6
10.38.7
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 3.6
11.60.5
10.29.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Second
4816
#26
6.21.6
6.75.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 2.9
3489
#19
9.20.5
8.37.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
9259
#24
5.11.6
7.25.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 1.7
8804
#27
3.30.5
5.34.7
Auto0.9
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed