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Red25
651211.9
48619.1
56077.5
Blue16
76711.1
600412.9
92595.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18150510202530352516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6512
#12
11.91.0
4.15.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 1.0
12.90.4
8.27.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
Second
4861
#21
9.11.0
6.67.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 4.0
9259
#24
5.10.4
4.13.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Third
5607
#15
7.51.0
5.36.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 6.4
7671
#30
1.10.4
1.91.6
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed