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Red18
69086.1
34899.2
51908.2
Blue27
62400.8
650213.1
264213.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213601030405060701827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#19
9.20.7
8.27.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 4.7
13.80.4
15.815.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
5190
#20
8.20.7
7.97.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.1
blue by 4.8
6502
#10
13.10.4
13.012.7
Auto1.6
Teleop8.5
End3.0
Third
6908
#18
6.10.7
4.94.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End0.4
red by 5.3
6240
#28
0.80.4
1.71.3
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed