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Red63
789014.7
482918.6
58712.3
Blue19
600412.9
92595.1
80905.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3912020305060706319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.2
13.214.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 5.7
12.90.3
7.27.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End0.9
Second
7890
#14
14.71.2
12.513.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 9.1
8090
#23
5.60.3
3.94.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Third
587
#17
12.31.2
6.07.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 7.2
9259
#24
5.10.3
2.63.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed