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Red37
69086.1
479528.0
62400.8
Blue20
33494.4
90019.7
48619.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29440102040506070803720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.8
22.923.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.2
End0.9
red by 8.2
900
#7
19.71.9
20.118.3
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
6908
#18
6.10.8
4.85.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 3.0
4861
#21
9.11.9
11.49.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
6240
#28
0.80.8
0.10.8
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 3.6
3349
#16
4.41.9
6.44.5
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed