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Red32
87468.6
51908.2
76711.1
Blue35
4354.6
58712.3
33494.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2936010204050603235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8746
#25
8.62.2
6.54.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 3.7
587
#17
12.31.5
15.614.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
5190
#20
8.22.2
11.89.6
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.1
red by 3.6
435
#13
4.61.5
8.67.1
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.6
Third
7671
#30
1.12.2
8.86.6
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.2
blue by 3.3
3349
#16
4.41.5
7.66.0
Auto4.1
Teleop-0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned