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Red41
91506.6
650213.1
789014.7
Blue41
58712.3
842914.2
34899.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3940203050604141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#14
14.70.1
15.215.1
Auto6.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 0.5
14.20.1
14.114.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Second
6502
#10
13.10.1
13.513.4
Auto1.6
Teleop8.5
End3.0
red by 0.8
587
#17
12.30.1
12.212.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
9150
#22
6.60.1
7.06.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 2.6
3489
#19
9.20.1
9.09.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9