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Red21
651211.9
87468.6
4354.6
Blue42
58712.3
842914.2
34899.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264002060801002142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6512
#12
11.90.1
12.011.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 2.3
14.20.2
13.914.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Second
8746
#25
8.60.1
8.78.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 3.7
587
#17
12.30.2
12.012.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
435
#13
4.60.1
4.74.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.6
blue by 4.6
3489
#19
9.20.2
8.99.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9