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Red103
957619.2
87632.5
327627.7
Blue60
453921.3
327717.8
517224.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89682040608010012014010360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
32.50.4
32.132.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
red by 8.1
5172
#11
24.40.1
24.524.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.2
End0.9
Second
27.70.5
27.227.7
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 6.3
4539
#30
21.30.1
21.521.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
9576
#15
19.20.5
18.719.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.0
red by 1.4
3277
#14
17.80.1
18.017.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7