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Red65
563823.9
253022.2
302611.5
Blue36
767712.8
423918.9
59296.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493101020406070806536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.5
12.114.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
red by 5.0
18.90.6
13.614.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Second
22.22.5
16.118.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
red by 9.4
7677
#35
12.80.6
8.49.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Third
3026
#24
11.52.5
14.216.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 4.7
5929
#52
6.80.6
8.49.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed