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Red19
825512.3
43601.5
250815.3
Blue75
466315.1
327717.8
329326.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29530204060801001975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2508
#39
15.31.7
13.211.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End1.0
blue by 11.0
26.32.7
18.821.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.7
Second
8255
#38
12.31.7
9.78.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
blue by 5.6
3277
#14
17.82.7
12.114.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
Third
4360
#56
1.51.7
6.54.8
Auto0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.3
blue by 13.7
4663
#26
15.12.7
14.617.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned