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Red69
418114.9
858613.0
87632.5
Blue54
422610.4
617521.0
725720.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44453540505560656954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
32.53.0
22.525.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.0
red by 11.6
6175
#22
21.00.5
13.413.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End1.3
Second
4181
#40
14.92.2
14.116.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 5.6
20.50.5
14.715.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Third
8586
#43
13.03.0
3.06.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End0.6
red by 2.6
4226
#46
10.40.5
12.813.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed